At 44p, could dirt-cheap Lloyds shares be a once-in-a-decade buying opportunity?

With Lloyds shares currently trading around the 44p mark, our writer explores whether they could present a rare and valuable investment opportunity.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

Investor looking at stock graph on a tablet with their finger hovering over the Buy button

Image source: Getty Images

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

As I write, Lloyds (LSE:LLOY) shares currently trade around the 44p mark.

After starting 2023 at 47p, the bank’s share price has since fallen by approximately 6%. Additionally, there’s been plenty of volatility between then and now.

In fact, since February this year, the shares are down by around 17%.

But should investors consider Lloyds shares to be cheap? I think so. What’s more, I reckon that at 44p, the shares could well present an outstanding buying opportunity. Here are three reasons why.

Resilience in the face of unstable macroeconomic conditions

Analysts describe Lloyds as a good barometer for the overall health of the UK consumer and its smaller businesses.

Amid rising cost pressures stemming from a variety of factors, I’m impressed that the bank is proving its resilience.

This is clear to see in the group’s financial performance. First-quarter results were impressive, surpassing analyst expectations due to lower-than-anticipated impairment charges set aside for loan defaults.

Net income was up 15% to £4.7bn, largely driven by higher net interest income, which benefited from higher interest rates.

But this highlights a key risk with Lloyds in that its focus on traditional banking means it’s more exposed to the interest rate cycle than its competitors.

As borrowing costs go up, some clients may face difficulties in servicing their debts. This could potentially lead to higher default rates and increased credit losses for the bank.

Despite this, I find the robust risk management and strategic planning from the bank’s bosses reassuring. Most recently, this has included a refreshed plan to build out the bank’s small business offer as well as increase the focus on larger corporate and institutional clients.

The advantage with this is that both groups have the potential to generate fees, rather than just interest income.

A juicy dividend yield

Beyond its robust financial performance, Lloyds boasts a handsome dividend yield of 5.5%. For investors seeking dividend income, I think this makes Lloyds an even more attractive pick.

Furthermore, thanks to a progressive and sustainable dividend policy, the group’s robust capital position means that dividends should remain well-covered by earnings for the foreseeable future.

However, dividends are never guaranteed. After all, during the Covid-19 pandemic the board decided that until the end of 2020 the group would undertake no quarterly or interim dividend payments, accrual of dividends, or share buybacks on ordinary shares.

A strategy for success

I’m most impressed by group’s ambitious strategy, which focuses on driving revenue growth and diversification.

Around two thirds of the £3bn strategic investment over the first three years of the latest strategy is aligned to growing and diversifying revenue.

I’m confident that by prioritising opportunities across each of the businesses, the groups can ensure it generates value in the near term and creates new revenue streams that deliver over the longer term.

For these reasons, I’m convinced that at 44p, Lloyds could be one of those once-in-a-decade buying opportunities. If I had any cash to spare, I’d hoover up some shares right away.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Matthew Dumigan has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Lloyds Banking Group Plc. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Happy couple showing relief at news
Investing Articles

£5,000 in savings? Here’s how I’d try and turn that into a £308 monthly passive income

It's possible to create a lifelong passive income stream from a well-chosen portfolio of dividend shares. Here's how I'd invest…

Read more »

Concept of two young professional men looking at a screen in a technological data centre
Value Shares

This £3 value stock could soar in the AI boom

This under-the-radar value stock could do well on the back of the huge global build-out of data centres in the…

Read more »

Growth Shares

Should I invest in Darktrace shares as they rocket towards £6?

Darktrace shares are up nearly 75% in 2024 as the cybersecurity sector rallied, but is it too late to invest?…

Read more »

Front view photo of a woman using digital tablet in London
Investing Articles

Up 33% in 3 months but Lloyds shares still look undervalued to me

Lloyds shares are finally in demand after a tough few years. While they're more expensive than they were, Harvey Jones…

Read more »

British flag, Big Ben, Houses of Parliament and British flag composition
Investing Articles

The ‘dinosaur’ FTSE 100 index is starting to roar

The FTSE 100 index has often been derided in recent years, but UK large-cap stocks are beginning to show encouraging…

Read more »

Investing Articles

I’d consider buying these FTSE 100 growth stocks for 2024 and beyond

I've been looking for growth stocks with low PEG valuations, and I'm finding plenty. But they're not at all where…

Read more »

Businesswoman calculating finances in an office
Investing Articles

Minimal savings? Here’s how I’d start investing with a Stocks and Shares ISA

A Stocks and Shares ISA is an ideal way for investors to get the most out of their hard-earned money…

Read more »

Young Caucasian woman with pink her studying from her laptop screen
Investing Articles

The Rolls-Royce share price frenzy is finally over. Is now the perfect time to buy?

Harvey Jones thinks the Rolls-Royce share price has risen too far, too fast. As investors start to calm down, a…

Read more »